Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 824.156107 936.746503 1064.638718 1221.842085 1411.489341 1634.979042 1921.409116
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 680.436343 827.042643 1009.667423 1258.423068 1595.801177 2048.877612 2724.273528
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 589.931201 743.238862 944.067905 1234.028169 1655.538941 2269.551415 3280.990261
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 536.113853 697.271258 918.146172 1254.661394 1777.240456 2602.152447 4109.203503
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 499.484952 667.265277 906.244811 1287.827319 1916.580683 2986.084035 5147.622601
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 462.520163 631.590527 880.205166 1293.215260 2009.608020 3312.391013 6206.415509
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 425.255539 590.938956 840.887680 1269.769636 2046.252329 3541.628416 7156.448326
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 402.770466 569.930727 828.944378 1288.918611 2161.257136 3951.968653 8727.074145
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 371.725530 532.714118 786.909668 1249.543325 2157.043219 4110.732399 9732.654910
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 346.342608 502.250500 752.817611 1219.598508 2165.504016 4299.527530 10936.091098
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 323.346823 473.801061 719.405734 1186.541614 2161.397865 4457.786572 12148.459080
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 314.999764 468.456982 724.629711 1226.764077 2321.056815 5072.512704 15429.431917
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 302.405167 456.295423 718.917566 1249.428065 2457.764697 5711.346977 19655.455540
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 291.039397 445.472670 714.855813 1275.778430 2612.698385 6483.645394 25690.555756
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 274.728737 424.672372 690.223191 1255.052088 2645.592850 6892.185636 30507.503637
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 264.980959 414.617621 684.661447 1274.579721 2788.125438 7744.772441 40054.742861
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 257.794970 408.493873 685.848705 1309.060821 2980.745045 8897.715206 55592.404679
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 247.922400 396.759938 674.969445 1314.337920 3092.523276 9810.767362 72910.065101
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 235.827477 380.137318 652.961732 1290.466821 3112.149046 10348.507146 88801.194951
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 229.008147 372.857543 649.143045 1310.001190 3272.792128 11664.098549 125954.848043
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 217.019689 355.127871 622.518808 1269.782795 3231.017144 11948.977702 147303.496386
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 206.784398 340.183245 600.648601 1239.189557 3215.882094 12384.286323 178079.672984
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 196.976365 325.553347 578.464760 1205.429202 3183.490382 12717.224838 212125.094577